Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Osvaldo Baletto

Deportivo Madryn

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Telmo play Deportivo Madryn in the Primera Nacional. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Telmo averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Deportivo Madryn averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, San Telmo won 3, Deportivo Madryn won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 7, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for San Telmo and 0.88 for Deportivo Madryn. This points to a Deportivo Madryn double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

San Telmo

28%

Draws

39%

Deportivo Madryn

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Deportivo Madryn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

San Telmo picked up more points recently compared to Deportivo Madryn.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 59%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

San Telmo Clean Sheet 25%

Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 53%

Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Telmo	Deportivo Madryn
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	7	12
Draws	9	10
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	0.79	1.16
Goals Conceded	1.17	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Primera Nacional

San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Sep 15, 2024 Primera Nacional

Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Apr 28, 2024 Primera Nacional

San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

May 6, 2022 Primera Nacional

San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Feb 5, 2021 Primera B

San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn

Possession: 40% - 46% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Telmo 35 / 100

Deportivo Madryn 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Telmo Deportivo Madryn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Deportivo Madryn or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Telmo attacking → ← attacking Deportivo Madryn

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Telmo scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Deportivo Madryn let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

San Telmo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Madryn lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 46

0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	20	12	4	4	23:14	40
2	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29:19	35
3	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19:8	32
4	Colon Santa Fe	19	8	8	3	23:15	32
5	Ciudad Bolivar	20	7	9	4	19:16	30
6	CA Estudiantes	20	8	6	6	18:16	30
7	Almirante Brown	20	8	6	6	15:13	30
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27:22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	19	6	7	6	19:17	25
10	San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17:21	25
11	Defensores de Belgrano	19	5	8	6	14:17	23
12	Racing Cordoba	19	5	6	8	17:22	21
13	All Boys	20	4	9	7	13:20	21
14	San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16:21	20
15	Central Norte	19	4	7	8	12:17	19
16	Acassuso	19	5	4	10	13:20	19
17	CA Mitre	20	3	9	8	19:27	18
18	Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17:26	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	19	11	4	4	31:21	37
2	Atletico Atlanta	19	10	3	6	24:15	33
3	Tristan Suarez	20	8	9	3	17:11	33
4	Temperley	19	7	9	3	19:17	30
5	Deportivo Maipu	20	8	4	8	27:21	28
6	Midland	19	7	6	6	20:15	27
7	Atl. Rafaela	20	7	6	7	15:16	27
8	San Martin T.	19	6	8	5	16:15	26
9	Nueva Chicago	19	6	7	6	17:17	25
10	Almagro	19	7	4	8	16:19	25
11	Quilmes	19	6	6	7	18:15	24
12	Gimnasia y Tiro	19	6	6	7	18:20	24
13	Colegiales	19	6	5	8	18:19	23
14	San Martin S.J.	18	6	5	7	18:19	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	19	6	4	9	15:20	22
16	Patronato	19	4	9	6	12:16	21
17	Club Atletico Guemes	19	5	4	10	18:32	19
18	Agropecuario	19	4	6	9	14:24	18