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San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Osvaldo Baletto, Dock Sud
San Telmo Logo

San Telmo

2 - 2
FT
Deportivo Moron Logo

Deportivo Moron

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Fagundez F.
21'
Diaz E.
42' Event
Fagundez F.
Assist: Kubiszyn S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between San Telmo and Deportivo Moron finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
San Telmo
15%
Draws
40%
Deportivo Moron
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Telmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Moron come out ahead of San Telmo on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on San Telmo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Telmo Deportivo Moron
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.55
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron
2:2
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo
1:1
Jul 21, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Telmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Baez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Porto J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Deportivo Moron Compare

Top Goalscorer Fagundez F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Telmo 50 / 100
Deportivo Moron 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Telmo Deportivo Moron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Telmo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Deportivo Moron conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

San Telmo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

San Telmo scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

San Telmo VS Deportivo Moron
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Telmo

(Home)
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
27 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 2
San Telmo
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1
San Telmo
05 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 0
Los Andes
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Moron

(Away)
03 Oct
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
All Boys
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1
Deportivo Moron
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
13 Sept
Racing Cordoba
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
8 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
9 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)