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San Telmo vs San Miguel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Osvaldo Baletto, Dock Sud
San Telmo Logo

San Telmo

1 - 0
FT
San Miguel Logo

San Miguel

Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Uriburu R.
62'
Sub
Delgado L. In: Diaz T.
Out: Delgado L.
62'
Sub
Brochero L. In: Fernandez G.
Out: Brochero L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between San Telmo and San Miguel finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Telmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
San Telmo
30%
Draws
16%
San Miguel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Telmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Telmo come out ahead of San Miguel on wins alone.
  • San Telmo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 68%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Telmo San Miguel
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 4
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.71 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs San Miguel
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs San Telmo
1:1
Dec 19, 2020 Primera B
San Miguel vs San Telmo
0:0
Apr 25, 2020 Primera B
San Miguel vs San Telmo
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Primera B
San Telmo vs San Miguel
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Telmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Molina N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

San Miguel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Telmo 86 / 100
San Miguel 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Telmo San Miguel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Telmo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Miguel conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

San Telmo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: San Miguel registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

San Telmo scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

San Telmo VS San Miguel
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Telmo

(Home)
19 Oct
San Telmo
0 : 0
Defensores de Belgrano
11 Oct
Ciudad Bolivar
1 : 0
San Telmo
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
27 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 2
San Telmo
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
Page 1 of 6

San Miguel

(Away)
17 Oct
San Miguel
1 : 2
Ciudad Bolivar
11 Oct
Almirante Brown
1 : 1
San Miguel
03 Oct
San Miguel
0 : 2
CA Mitre
26 Sept
CA Estudiantes
2 : 1
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 1
All Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 35 19 8 8 38:31 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 35 15 12 8 51:31 57
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Chaco For Ever 35 11 10 14 36:36 43
10 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 34 8 14 12 25:32 38
14 San Telmo 35 9 11 15 29:41 38
15 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 35 16 15 4 34:16 63
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 35 11 13 11 39:37 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Quilmes 35 11 9 15 32:30 42
13 Almagro 35 11 9 15 32:42 42
14 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)