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San Teodoro vs Albalonga

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Serie D - Group G 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 game between San Teodoro and Albalonga finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albalonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
San Teodoro
15%
Draws
85%
Albalonga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Albalonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • San Teodoro haven't matched Albalonga's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Albalonga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Albalonga have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
San Teodoro Clean Sheet 16%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Teodoro Albalonga
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 4 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2018 Serie D - Group G
San Teodoro vs Albalonga
2:5
Nov 19, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs San Teodoro
5:0
Feb 19, 2017 Serie D - Group G
San Teodoro vs Albalonga
0:1
Oct 16, 2016 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs San Teodoro
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Teodoro 10 / 100
Albalonga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Teodoro Albalonga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albalonga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

San Teodoro found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Albalonga has conceded goals in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Albalonga's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Albalonga
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Teodoro

(Home)
06 May
SFF Atletico (Inactive)
3 : 1
San Teodoro
29 Apr
San Teodoro
4 : 6
Aprilia
22 Apr
Lupa Roma
5 : 0
San Teodoro
15 Apr
Flaminia
2 : 0
San Teodoro
08 Apr
San Teodoro
2 : 5
Albalonga
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Albalonga

(Away)
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Aranova
1 : 0
Albalonga
12 Sept
Albalonga
3 : 1
Citta di Anagni
06 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Albalonga
10 May
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 0
Albalonga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rieti 34 22 9 3 76:29 75
2 Albalonga 34 20 10 4 60:28 70
3 SFF Atletico (Inactive) 34 19 9 6 73:37 66
4 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 60:43 62
5 Latina 34 17 10 7 55:42 61
6 Aprilia 34 14 12 8 52:42 54
7 Cassino 34 15 7 12 50:48 52
8 Lupa Roma 34 12 10 12 47:49 44
9 Monterosi 34 12 8 14 47:42 44
10 Budoni Calcio 34 13 4 17 40:41 43
11 Ostiamare 34 11 9 14 47:56 42
12 Flaminia 34 11 8 15 42:48 41
13 Latte Dolce 34 10 10 14 39:45 40
14 Lanusei Calcio 34 11 4 19 41:55 37
15 Nuorese 34 9 8 17 28:46 35
16 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 7 7 20 28:68 28
17 Tortoli 34 7 5 22 36:65 26
18 San Teodoro 34 5 8 21 47:84 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 (Play Offs)