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Sanat Naft vs Navad Urmia Prediction & H2H Stats

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026 Takhti Stadium, Abadan
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Match Events

23' Event
Kamandani M.

AI Match Summary

Sanat Naft in this Azadegan League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanat Naft.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sanat Naft
20%
Draws
0%
Navad Urmia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanat Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sanat Naft have won more games recently than Navad Urmia.
  • Win probability leans Sanat Naft's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Sanat Naft Clean Sheet 68%
Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanat Naft Navad Urmia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 10 10
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.07 0.47
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 0.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Sanat Naft
1:4
Dec 12, 2025 Azadegan League
Sanat Naft vs Navad Urmia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanat Naft Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamandani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Navad Urmia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.31
Avg xA / game 0.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanat Naft 86 / 100
Navad Urmia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanat Naft Navad Urmia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanat Naft Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Navad Urmia has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Navad Urmia conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sanat Naft scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sanat Naft VS Navad Urmia
1.75 Goals Scored 0.17
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.17
75% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanat Naft

(Home)
12 Sept
Sanat Naft
1 : 2
Chadormalu
06 Sept
Paykan
2 : 0
Sanat Naft
02 Sept
Sanat Naft
0 : 0
Sepahan
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
24 Aug
Sanat Naft
0 : 3
Foolad
Page 1 of 6

Navad Urmia

(Away)
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Saipa
03 Jul
Navad Urmia
1 : 4
Sanat Naft
27 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
2 : 0
Navad Urmia
21 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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