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Sancataldese vs Portici 1906

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sancataldese play Portici 1906 in the Serie D - Group I 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sancataldese averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Portici 1906 averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Sancataldese won 3, Portici 1906 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 21, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Sancataldese and 1.31 for Portici 1906. This points to a Sancataldese double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sancataldese
17%
Draws
13%
Portici 1906
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sancataldese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sancataldese has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Portici 1906.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Sancataldese.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Sancataldese Clean Sheet 68%
Portici 1906 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sancataldese Portici 1906
Matches Played 45 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 13 8
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs Portici 1906
2:0
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Portici 1906 vs Sancataldese
1:2
May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Portici 1906 vs Sancataldese
6:1
Jan 23, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs Portici 1906
0:3
Mar 31, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs Portici 1906
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sancataldese Compare

Top Goalscorer Zerbo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scalia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Portici 1906 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sancataldese 77 / 100
Portici 1906 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sancataldese Portici 1906

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sancataldese scored in 64% of their last 45 games.

Portici 1906 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sancataldese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Portici 1906 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sancataldese VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00