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Sandhausen vs FC 08 Homburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest Hardtwaldstadion, Sandhausen
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Match Events

22'
Kehl M.
35' Event
El Helwe H.
76' Event
Schumann F.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest game between Sandhausen and FC 08 Homburg finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC 08 Homburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sandhausen
35%
Draws
23%
FC 08 Homburg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sandhausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC 08 Homburg come out ahead of Sandhausen on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sandhausen taking it.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and FC 08 Homburg have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Sandhausen Clean Sheet 12%
FC 08 Homburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandhausen FC 08 Homburg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.89 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Sandhausen vs FC 08 Homburg
1:3
May 16, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Sandhausen vs FC 08 Homburg
1:3
Nov 15, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Sandhausen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sandhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Schulz K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC 08 Homburg Compare

Top Goalscorer El Helwe H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schumann F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandhausen 56 / 100
FC 08 Homburg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandhausen FC 08 Homburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sandhausen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC 08 Homburg conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Sandhausen went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sandhausen's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sandhausen VS FC 08 Homburg
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandhausen

(Home)
10 Oct
FSV Frankfurt
1 : 3
Sandhausen
02 Oct
Sandhausen
1 : 1
Kaiserslautern II
25 Sept
Astoria Walldorf
1 : 2
Sandhausen
19 Sept
Sandhausen
2 : 2
Ulm
11 Sept
Freiburg II
1 : 2
Sandhausen
Page 1 of 6

FC 08 Homburg

(Away)
09 Oct
Kickers Offenbach
2 : 2
FC 08 Homburg
03 Oct
FC 08 Homburg
1 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
26 Sept
TSV Steinbach Haiger
1 : 0
FC 08 Homburg
19 Sept
FC 08 Homburg
2 : 2
Kassel
12 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt II
1 : 2
FC 08 Homburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalen 11 6 3 2 20:11 21
2 Freiberg 10 5 5 0 26:11 20
3 Kickers Offenbach 11 6 2 3 22:15 20
4 Stutt. Kickers 11 6 2 3 19:15 20
5 VfR Mannheim 10 4 5 1 16:9 17
6 Freiburg II 9 4 4 1 18:11 16
7 TSV Steinbach Haiger 11 4 4 3 19:15 16
8 FC 08 Homburg 11 4 4 3 15:15 16
9 Sandhausen 11 4 4 3 19:21 16
10 Eintracht Trier 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
11 Kassel 11 4 2 5 20:21 14
12 FSV Frankfurt 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 Eintracht Frankfurt II 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
14 Astoria Walldorf 11 2 4 5 16:19 10
15 Mainz II 11 3 1 7 11:22 10
16 Kaiserslautern II 10 2 3 5 9:21 9
17 Ulm 11 1 5 5 14:21 8
18 Fulda-Lehnerz 11 1 3 7 14:24 6
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)