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Sandnessjoen vs Melbo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 11 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 11 2015 game between Sandnessjoen and Melbo finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sandnessjoen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sandnessjoen
15%
Draws
21%
Melbo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sandnessjoen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Melbo haven't matched Sandnessjoen's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sandnessjoen's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 11 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sandnessjoen Clean Sheet 20%
Melbo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandnessjoen Melbo
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.9 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2016 Division 3 - Group 11
Melbo vs Sandnessjoen
1:1
Apr 22, 2016 Division 3 - Group 11
Sandnessjoen vs Melbo
3:0
Sep 4, 2015 Division 3 - Group 11
Sandnessjoen vs Melbo
4:2
May 23, 2015 Division 3 - Group 11
Melbo vs Sandnessjoen
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandnessjoen 40 / 100
Melbo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandnessjoen Melbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sandnessjoen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sandnessjoen scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Melbo conceded in 89% of 18 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Difficult form: Melbo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Melbo
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandnessjoen

(Home)
08 Oct
Stalkam
5 : 1
Sandnessjoen
01 Oct
Sandnessjoen
2 : 3
Sortland
23 Sept
Medkila
2 : 4
Sandnessjoen
19 Sept
Sandnessjoen
3 : 4
Bodo/Glimt 2
10 Sept
Fauske Sprint
3 : 2
Sandnessjoen
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Melbo

(Away)
13 Apr
Melbo
0 : 1
Sortland
30 Oct
Melbo
1 : 3
Bodo/Glimt 2
23 Oct
Ullern
4 : 0
Melbo
17 Oct
Melbo
1 : 1
Skeid 2
10 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 1
Melbo
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