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Sandviken vs Norrkoping - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Jernvallen, Sandviken
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Wagner C.
(Penalty)
38'
Arvidsson J.
45' Event
Jemal E.
Assist: Nelson R.

AI Match Summary

Norrkoping in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Norrkoping.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sandviken
30%
Draws
37%
Norrkoping
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Norrkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Norrkoping lately — more wins on the board than Sandviken.
  • Model gives Norrkoping a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Norrkoping have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sandviken Clean Sheet 16%
Norrkoping Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandviken Norrkoping
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.62 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Superettan
Sandviken vs Norrkoping
1:4
Jul 19, 2026 Superettan
Norrkoping vs Sandviken
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Norrkoping vs Sandviken
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Norrkoping vs Sandviken
3:1
Feb 28, 2021 Svenska Cupen
Sandviken vs Norrkoping
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sandviken Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Norrkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Nelson R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jemal E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandviken 19 / 100
Norrkoping 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandviken Norrkoping

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norrkoping Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Sandviken scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Sandviken went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Norrkoping has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sandviken VS Norrkoping
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandviken

(Home)
24 Oct
Varnamo
0 : 1
Sandviken
17 Oct
Sandviken
0 : 0
Ostersund
10 Oct
Landskrona
3 : 2
Sandviken
03 Oct
Sandviken
1 : 0
Sundsvall
19 Sept
Sandviken
4 : 2
Orebro
Page 1 of 6

Norrkoping

(Away)
25 Oct
Norrby
0 : 4
Norrkoping
20 Oct
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Orebro
13 Oct
Norrkoping
4 : 0
Sundsvall
06 Oct
Norrkoping
0 : 0
Kalmar
19 Sept
Oster
1 : 3
Norrkoping
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 28 19 5 4 58:18 62
2 Falkenberg 28 15 6 7 52:38 51
3 Ostersund 28 12 12 4 38:26 48
4 Varberg 28 13 8 7 46:35 47
5 Landskrona 28 12 8 8 46:33 44
6 Oddevold 28 11 9 8 48:37 42
7 Oster 28 13 3 12 46:45 42
8 Sandviken 28 11 8 9 46:36 41
9 Nordic United 28 10 9 9 41:47 39
10 Helsingborg 28 8 8 12 37:48 32
11 Varnamo 28 9 5 14 35:48 32
12 Ljungskile 28 7 9 12 35:40 30
13 Orebro 28 6 11 11 31:42 29
14 Norrby 28 5 12 11 31:41 27
15 Brage 28 6 8 14 45:55 26
16 Sundsvall 28 6 1 21 19:65 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)