Sport Picks
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima 
Match Events
15'
15'
Shiotani T.
28'
28'
Kato M.
Assist: Higashi S.
45'
45'
Kato M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
15%
44%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kawasaki Frontale
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won more games recently than Kawasaki Frontale.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 16%
Kawasaki Frontale Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Kawasaki Frontale |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale
1:1
Jun 6, 2026 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:1
May 30, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
May 31, 2025 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare
Top Goalscorer Kato M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Kawasaki Frontale Compare
Top Goalscorer Yamamoto Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 84 / 100
Kawasaki Frontale 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Kawasaki Frontale
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Kawasaki Frontale let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sanfrecce Hiroshima VS Kawasaki Frontale
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
(Home) 07 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0 Iwaki
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0 Iwaki
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
26 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 1 Okinawa
22 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 3
Kawasaki Frontale
(Away) 07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3 Kashima Antlers
12 Sept
Mito
0 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
12 Sept
Mito
0 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
02 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
22 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
09 Aug
Verdy
1 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
