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Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs Nojima Stella W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women
Sun, Mar 7, 2027
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the WE League Cup Women. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Sanfrecce Hiroshima W have averaged 1.67 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Nojima Stella W's 1.45 scored and 1.59 conceded. Past meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima W slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 20, 2025, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.13, favoring Sanfrecce Hiroshima W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
15%
Draws
34%
Nojima Stella W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sanfrecce Hiroshima W come out ahead of Nojima Stella W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nojima Stella W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Clean Sheet 20%
Nojima Stella W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Nojima Stella W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 3 2
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.67 1.45
Goals Conceded 1 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 WE League Women
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs Nojima Stella W
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
0:2
May 4, 2025 WE League Women
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs Nojima Stella W
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
0:1
May 6, 2024 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 49 / 100
Nojima Stella W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Nojima Stella W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nojima Stella W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sanfrecce Hiroshima W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W VS Nojima Stella W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

(Home)
03 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
3 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
27 Sept
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
0 : 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
23 Sept
C-Osaka W
3 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
19 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
0 : 1
JEF United W
12 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
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Nojima Stella W

(Away)
10 Oct
JEF United W
3 : 1
Nojima Stella W
04 Oct
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
27 Sept
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
23 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
19 Sept
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
1 : 2
Nojima Stella W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JEF United W 6 5 0 1 13:8 14
2 Beleza W 6 4 0 2 14:11 12
3 Omiya Ardija W 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
4 Nojima Stella W 6 3 0 3 9:8 11
5 Saitama W 5 4 0 1 9:6 10
6 Urawa W 6 3 0 3 12:10 10
7 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 C-Osaka W 6 3 0 3 11:11 9
9 Mynavi Sendai W 6 2 0 4 5:8 8
10 Albirex Niigata W 5 2 0 3 7:8 5
11 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 6 2 0 4 8:12 4
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 6 0 0 6 1:12 1
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)