Sport Picks
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs Omiya Ardija W
Japan
WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 Hiroshima Big Arch, Hiroshima 
Match Events
48'
48'
Takahashi M.
74'
74'
Nakashima Y.
AI Match Summary
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W in this WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima W have won more games recently than Omiya Ardija W.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Omiya Ardija W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Clean Sheet 68%
Omiya Ardija W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sanfrecce Hiroshima W | Omiya Ardija W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 33 |
| Wins | 20 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs Omiya Ardija W
2:1
Nov 3, 2025 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
2:2
Sep 6, 2025 WE League Women
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs Omiya Ardija W
3:4
Apr 26, 2025 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Compare
Top Goalscorer Nakashima Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Omiya Ardija W Compare
Top Goalscorer Takahashi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 95 / 100
Omiya Ardija W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Omiya Ardija W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Omiya Ardija W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W VS Omiya Ardija W
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
(Home) 16 May
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
10 May
C-Osaka W
0 : 0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
03 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
2 : 0 Beleza W
25 Apr
AC Parceiro Nagano W
1 : 5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
18 Apr
Beleza W
3 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
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03 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
2 : 0 Beleza W
12 Apr
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
3 : 2 Beleza W
28 Mar
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
1 : 0 Saitama W
21 Mar
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
1 : 0 Inac Kobe Leonesa W
07 Mar
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
3 : 1 Saitama W
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Omiya Ardija W
(Away) 25 Jul
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 4 Bayern Munich W
16 May
Omiya Ardija W
0 : 4 Nojima Stella W
10 May
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 1 JEF United W
02 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 0 Omiya Ardija W
29 Apr
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 3 Beleza W
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02 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 0 Omiya Ardija W
12 Apr
C-Osaka W
1 : 5 Omiya Ardija W
05 Apr
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
2 : 1 Omiya Ardija W
21 Mar
Saitama W
0 : 5 Omiya Ardija W
07 Mar
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
1 : 4 Omiya Ardija W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omiya Ardija W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Inac Kobe Leonesa W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
| 4 | Saitama W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:16 | 3 |
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beleza W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 14 |
| 2 | Mynavi Sendai W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 12 |
| 3 | JEF United W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 10 |
| 4 | AC Parceiro Nagano W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C-Osaka W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Urawa W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Nojima Stella W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | 6 |
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
