Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs VONDS Ichihara W

Japan Japan

Empress's Cup Women Hiroshima Big Arch, Hiroshima
Sat, Nov 15, 2025
2 - 1
02:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ueno M.
90' Event
Takeda N.
120' Event
Ogawa A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Sanfrecce Hiroshima W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
6%
Draws
4%
VONDS Ichihara W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Clean Sheet 68%
VONDS Ichihara W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanfrecce Hiroshima W VONDS Ichihara W
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 20 1
Draws 7 1
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.86 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.86 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Empress's Cup Women
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs VONDS Ichihara W
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 Empress's Cup Women
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs VONDS Ichihara W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ueno M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ogawa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.93

VONDS Ichihara W Compare

Top Goalscorer Takeda N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 95 / 100
VONDS Ichihara W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W VONDS Ichihara W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

VONDS Ichihara W let in goals in 94% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Sanfrecce Hiroshima W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W VS VONDS Ichihara W
1.86 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.88
71% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

(Home)
16 May
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
10 May
C-Osaka W
0 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
03 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
2 : 0
Beleza W
25 Apr
AC Parceiro Nagano W
1 : 5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
18 Apr
Beleza W
3 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
Page 1 of 7

VONDS Ichihara W

(Away)
28 Jun
NGU Nagoya W
0 : 0
VONDS Ichihara W
21 Jun
Miyazaki W
3 : 1
VONDS Ichihara W
13 Jun
VONDS Ichihara W
0 : 2
Okayama Yunogo W
06 Jun
AS Harima Albio W
1 : 0
VONDS Ichihara W
23 May
VONDS Ichihara W
1 : 5
Shizuoka Bonita W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Urawa W 4
Setagaya Sfida FC W 1
Kunoichi W 2
Otemon Gakuin Univ. W 1
Miyazaki W 2
Nittaidai W 3
Omiya Ardija W 0
Diosa Izumo W 1
Inac Kobe Leonesa W 5
Nihon University FC W 0
Shizuoka Bonita W 5
Yamanashi Gakuin W 1
Mynavi Sendai W 1
Ehime W 0
Albirex Niigata W 5
Niigata University of Health and Welfare LSC W 1
Beleza W 6
Yokohama FC Seagulls W 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2
VONDS Ichihara W 1
JEF United W 1
AS Harima Albio W 3
Saitama W 0
Fukushima Academy W 1
C-Osaka W 3
Orca Kamogawa W 1
Nojima Stella W 3
Fujizakura Yamanashi W 2
AC Parceiro Nagano W 2
Gunma W 1
NGU Nagoya W 2
SEISA OSA Rheia FC W 0
1/8-finals
Urawa W 1
Kunoichi W 2
Nittaidai W 2
Diosa Izumo W 0
Inac Kobe Leonesa W 1
Shizuoka Bonita W 0
Mynavi Sendai W 0
Albirex Niigata W 1
Beleza W 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2
AS Harima Albio W 1
Fukushima Academy W 0
C-Osaka W 1
Nojima Stella W 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W 0
NGU Nagoya W 2
Quarter-finals
Kunoichi W 1
Nittaidai W 0
Inac Kobe Leonesa W 2
Albirex Niigata W 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2
AS Harima Albio W 1
C-Osaka W 1
NGU Nagoya W 0
Semi-finals
Kunoichi W 1
Inac Kobe Leonesa W 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 3
C-Osaka W 2
Final
Inac Kobe Leonesa W 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2