Sport Picks
Sangiovannese vs Follonica Gavorrano Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 2024/2025 
Match Events
7'
7'
Tatti E.
12'
12'
Lo Sicco F.
(Penalty)
76'
76'
Cellai L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Follonica Gavorrano advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
30%
61%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Follonica Gavorrano come out ahead of Sangiovannese on wins alone.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Follonica Gavorrano taking it.
- Follonica Gavorrano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Follonica Gavorrano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Follonica Gavorrano have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 16%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sangiovannese | Follonica Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:0
Nov 20, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Sangiovannese vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Sangiovannese
3:0
Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Follonica Gavorrano
0:2
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Sangiovannese
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sangiovannese Compare
Top Goalscorer Della Spoletina M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Follonica Gavorrano Compare
Top Goalscorer Tatti E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sangiovannese 10 / 100
Follonica Gavorrano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sangiovannese Follonica Gavorrano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Follonica Gavorrano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Follonica Gavorrano conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Sangiovannese found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Sangiovannese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sangiovannese VS Follonica Gavorrano
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sangiovannese
(Home) 26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3 Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0 Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2 Livorno
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3 Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2 Livorno
06 Apr
Sangiovannese
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
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Follonica Gavorrano
(Away) 27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0 Grassina
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
26 Apr
Scandicci
1 : 3 Follonica Gavorrano
12 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
28 Mar
Grosseto
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Imperia Calcio 0
Vado 1
Saluzzo 3
Chisola 0
Lavagnese 3
Bra 1
Brusaporto 1
Sangiuliano City 2
Club Milano 2
NovaRomentin 0
Sant'Angelo 3
Varese FC 0
Oltrepo 0
Piacenza 2
Villa Valle 1
Real Calepina 0
Vigasio 0
Pro Palazzolo 1
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Montecchio Maggiore 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Campodarsego 1
Adriese 2
Mestre 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Lentigione 2
Ravenna 3
Fossombrone 1
Sambenedettese 1
Vigor Senigallia 2
Castelfidardo 4
Civitanovese Calcio 1
Livorno 3
Ghiviborgo 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
San Donato Tavarnelle 1
Figline 1
Sangiovannese 2
Follonica Gavorrano 1
Sporting Trestina 0
Atl. Lodigiani 0
Roma City 3
Aquila Calcio 1
Termoli 0
Ostiamare 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra 2
Guidonia 1937 1
Cassino 0
Paganese 1
Scafatese 2
Nocerina 1
Ischia 2
Virtus Francavilla 0
Martina Calcio 1
Fidelis Andria 2
Casarano 3
Gelbison 2
Matera 1
Reggina 2
AS Acireale 1
Akragas 0
Enna 2
Siracusa 3
Paterno 0
1/16-finals
Vado 0
Saluzzo 1
Lavagnese 2
Sangiuliano City 1
Club Milano 1
Sant'Angelo 2
Piacenza 2
Villa Valle 1
Pro Palazzolo 1
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 4
Adriese 3
Lentigione 0
Ravenna 1
Vigor Senigallia 1
Castelfidardo 2
Livorno 3
Seravezza Pozzi 0
Sangiovannese 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Roma City 0
Aquila Calcio 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Guidonia 1937 2
Scafatese 6
Ischia 0
Martina Calcio 1
Casarano 0
Gelbison 1
Reggina 3
Enna 3
Siracusa 2
1/8-finals
Saluzzo 0
Lavagnese 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Piacenza 3
Cjarlins Muzane 3
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Ravenna 2
Castelfidardo 1
Livorno 2
Follonica Gavorrano 1
Aquila Calcio 0
Guidonia 1937 4
Scafatese 0
Martina Calcio 1
Reggina 1
Enna 2
Quarter-finals
Lavagnese 2
Piacenza 1
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Ravenna 3
Livorno 2
Guidonia 1937 3
Martina Calcio 1
Enna 0
Semi-finals
Lavagnese 1
Ravenna 3
Guidonia 1937 5
Martina Calcio 0
Final
Ravenna 3
Guidonia 1937 2
