Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Sangiovannese and Grosseto finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grosseto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Grosseto carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Grosseto a 52% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 14%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sangiovannese | Grosseto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Grosseto
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Sangiovannese
2:0
Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Grosseto
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Sangiovannese
0:0
Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Grosseto
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sangiovannese 27 / 100
Grosseto 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sangiovannese Grosseto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Grosseto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Grosseto conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Sangiovannese scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Sangiovannese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sangiovannese VS Grosseto
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sangiovannese
(Home) 26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3 Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0 Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2 Livorno
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26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3 Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2 Livorno
06 Apr
Sangiovannese
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
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Grosseto
(Away) 20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2 Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4 Latina
06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Sassari Torres
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12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
29 Aug
Ostiamare
1 : 2 Grosseto
02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1 Grosseto
17 May
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 1 Grosseto
02 May
Ghiviborgo
0 : 3 Grosseto
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Livorno | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 74:44 | 72 |
| 2 | Fulgens Foligno | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 61:44 | 60 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:39 | 59 |
| 4 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 65:57 | 55 |
| 5 | Orvietana | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 44:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Siena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Grosseto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:34 | 50 |
| 8 | Ostiamare | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49:53 | 45 |
| 9 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32:36 | 43 |
| 10 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 26:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Montevarchi | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 36:39 | 41 |
| 12 | Flaminia | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:43 | 40 |
| 13 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 15 | Figline | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 29:33 | 38 |
| 16 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:45 | 38 |
| 17 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 30:38 | 36 |
| 18 | Fezzanese | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:63 | 26 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)
