Sport Picks
Sangiovannese vs Livorno Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 
Match Events
11'
11'
Malva A.
47'
47'
Frati M.
87'
87'
Fancelli A.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Sangiovannese and Livorno finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Livorno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Livorno come out ahead of Sangiovannese on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 12%
Livorno Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sangiovannese | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Livorno
2:2
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Livorno vs Sangiovannese
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Livorno vs Sangiovannese
1:0
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Livorno
1:1
Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Livorno
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sangiovannese Compare
Top Goalscorer Della Spoletina M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Livorno Compare
Top Goalscorer Malva A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Frati M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sangiovannese 35 / 100
Livorno 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sangiovannese Livorno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Livorno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Livorno let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Sangiovannese found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Sangiovannese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sangiovannese VS Livorno
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sangiovannese
(Home) 26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3 Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0 Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2 Livorno
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3 Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2 Livorno
06 Apr
Sangiovannese
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
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Livorno
(Away) 03 Oct
Livorno
0 : 1 Pescara
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Pianese
21 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1 Livorno
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Vado
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0 Livorno
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21 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1 Livorno
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0 Livorno
03 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Livorno
29 Aug
Pineto
0 : 0 Livorno
26 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 2 Livorno
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Livorno | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 74:44 | 72 |
| 2 | Fulgens Foligno | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 61:44 | 60 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:39 | 59 |
| 4 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 65:57 | 55 |
| 5 | Orvietana | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 44:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Siena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Grosseto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:34 | 50 |
| 8 | Ostiamare | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49:53 | 45 |
| 9 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32:36 | 43 |
| 10 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 26:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Montevarchi | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 36:39 | 41 |
| 12 | Flaminia | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:43 | 40 |
| 13 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 15 | Figline | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 29:33 | 38 |
| 16 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:45 | 38 |
| 17 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 30:38 | 36 |
| 18 | Fezzanese | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:63 | 26 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)
