Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sangiovannese vs Lornano Badesse

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Polo A.
51' Event
Polo A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 game between Sangiovannese and Lornano Badesse finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sangiovannese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Sangiovannese
30%
Draws
54%
Lornano Badesse
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lornano Badesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lornano Badesse come out ahead of Sangiovannese on wins alone.
  • Lornano Badesse are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 26%
Lornano Badesse Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiovannese Lornano Badesse
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.06 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Lornano Badesse
2:0
Jan 23, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Sangiovannese
1:2
Jun 6, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Lornano Badesse
1:1
Jan 31, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Sangiovannese
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sangiovannese Compare

Top Goalscorer Polo A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Lornano Badesse Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiovannese 25 / 100
Lornano Badesse 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiovannese Lornano Badesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lornano Badesse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lornano Badesse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sangiovannese scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Sangiovannese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sangiovannese VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiovannese

(Home)
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3
Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0
Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2
Livorno
Page 1 of 7

Lornano Badesse

(Away)
15 May
Sangiovannese
2 : 0
Lornano Badesse
08 May
Lornano Badesse
2 : 0
Arezzo
01 May
Foligno
3 : 3
Lornano Badesse
27 Apr
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1
Montespaccato
23 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Lornano Badesse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 26 3 5 86:30 81
2 Poggibonsi 34 23 5 6 61:28 74
3 Arezzo 34 18 10 6 65:45 64
4 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 9 7 63:30 63
5 Pianese 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
6 Lornano Badesse 34 15 9 10 47:43 54
7 Sporting Trestina 34 13 10 11 48:43 49
8 Flaminia 34 13 7 14 49:50 46
9 Tiferno Lerchi 34 10 12 12 36:48 42
10 Montespaccato 34 11 9 14 43:44 42
11 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 11 9 14 39:40 42
12 Sangiovannese 34 9 14 11 37:39 41
13 Scandicci 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
14 FC Rieti 34 9 8 17 39:58 35
15 Foligno 34 9 8 17 46:65 35
16 Unipomezia 34 8 7 19 38:64 31
17 Cannara 34 5 9 20 27:52 24
18 Pro Livorno 34 5 6 23 31:84 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)