Sport Picks
Sangiovannese vs Poggibonsi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 
Match Events
86'
86'
Bocci N.
AI Match Summary
Sangiovannese in this Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sangiovannese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Poggibonsi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Poggibonsi lately — more wins on the board than Sangiovannese.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sangiovannese have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 16%
Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sangiovannese | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Poggibonsi
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Sangiovannese
1:2
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Poggibonsi
2:1
Dec 17, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Sangiovannese
4:2
Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Sangiovannese
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sangiovannese Compare
Top Goalscorer Bocci N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Poggibonsi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sangiovannese 36 / 100
Poggibonsi 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sangiovannese Poggibonsi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Poggibonsi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Poggibonsi let in goals in 73% of their last 37 matches.
Sangiovannese scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Sangiovannese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sangiovannese VS Poggibonsi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sangiovannese
(Home) 26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3 Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0 Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2 Livorno
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3 Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2 Livorno
06 Apr
Sangiovannese
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
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Poggibonsi
(Away) 10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
03 May
Poggibonsi
1 : 0 Scandicci
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2 Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0 Tau
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1 Poggibonsi
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10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2 Poggibonsi
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1 Poggibonsi
28 Mar
Montevarchi
1 : 1 Poggibonsi
15 Mar
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 2 Poggibonsi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Livorno | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 74:44 | 72 |
| 2 | Fulgens Foligno | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 61:44 | 60 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:39 | 59 |
| 4 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 65:57 | 55 |
| 5 | Orvietana | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 44:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Siena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Grosseto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:34 | 50 |
| 8 | Ostiamare | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49:53 | 45 |
| 9 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32:36 | 43 |
| 10 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 26:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Montevarchi | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 36:39 | 41 |
| 12 | Flaminia | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:43 | 40 |
| 13 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 15 | Figline | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 29:33 | 38 |
| 16 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:45 | 38 |
| 17 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 30:38 | 36 |
| 18 | Fezzanese | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:63 | 26 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)
