Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Sangiovannese and Siena finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Siena carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Siena's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Siena have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sangiovannese | Siena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sangiovannese Compare
Siena Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Siena conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Sangiovannese's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Sangiovannese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sangiovannese
(Home)Siena
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Livorno | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 74:44 | 72 |
| 2 | Fulgens Foligno | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 61:44 | 60 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:39 | 59 |
| 4 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 65:57 | 55 |
| 5 | Orvietana | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 44:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Siena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Grosseto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:34 | 50 |
| 8 | Ostiamare | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49:53 | 45 |
| 9 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32:36 | 43 |
| 10 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 26:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Montevarchi | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 36:39 | 41 |
| 12 | Flaminia | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:43 | 40 |
| 13 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 15 | Figline | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 29:33 | 38 |
| 16 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:45 | 38 |
| 17 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 30:38 | 36 |
| 18 | Fezzanese | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:63 | 26 |