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Sangiuliano City vs Pro Palazzolo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sangiuliano City play Pro Palazzolo in the Serie D - Group D. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sangiuliano City averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Pro Palazzolo averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Sangiuliano City won 1, Pro Palazzolo won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Sangiuliano City and 1.50 for Pro Palazzolo. This points to a Pro Palazzolo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Sangiuliano City
31%
Draws
37%
Pro Palazzolo
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Pro Palazzolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sangiuliano City picked up more points recently compared to Pro Palazzolo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 16%
Pro Palazzolo Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiuliano City Pro Palazzolo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs Pro Palazzolo
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pro Palazzolo vs Sangiuliano City
1:1
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Sangiuliano City vs Pro Palazzolo
1:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Pro Palazzolo vs Sangiuliano City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sangiuliano City Compare

Top Goalscorer Saggionetto N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Busatto T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pro Palazzolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Masi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiuliano City 32 / 100
Pro Palazzolo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiuliano City Pro Palazzolo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pro Palazzolo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sangiuliano City attacking → ← attacking Pro Palazzolo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sangiuliano City scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Pro Palazzolo let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Sangiuliano City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pro Palazzolo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 52
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738