Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sangiuliano City vs Sant'Angelo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bramante S.
60' Event
Busatto T.
67' Event
Maltoni E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Sangiuliano City and Sant'Angelo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sant'Angelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sangiuliano City
30%
Draws
47%
Sant'Angelo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sant'Angelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sant'Angelo haven't matched Sangiuliano City's recent run of results.
  • Sant'Angelo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sant'Angelo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 14%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiuliano City Sant'Angelo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs Sant'Angelo
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Sangiuliano City
2:0
Jan 15, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Sangiuliano City vs Sant'Angelo
2:2
Sep 18, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Sant'Angelo vs Sangiuliano City
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs Sant'Angelo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sangiuliano City Compare

Top Goalscorer Busatto T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Sant'Angelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bramante S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maltoni E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiuliano City 27 / 100
Sant'Angelo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiuliano City Sant'Angelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sant'Angelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sant'Angelo let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Sangiuliano City's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sangiuliano City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sangiuliano City VS Sant'Angelo
1.17 Goals Scored 1.38
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiuliano City

(Home)
03 May
Sangiuliano City
0 : 5
Desenzano Calvina
26 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 0
Sangiuliano City
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Apr
Crema
0 : 2
Sangiuliano City
02 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 3
Tropical Coriano
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Sant'Angelo

(Away)
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0
Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0
Pavia
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Varesina
06 Sept
Correggese
0 : 3
Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)