Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D

Sangiuliano City

3 - 3

Tropical Coriano

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Own Goal

52'

De Cecco M.

56'

Tafa S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Sangiuliano City and Tropical Coriano finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Sangiuliano City

33%

Draws

40%

Tropical Coriano

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tropical Coriano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Sangiuliano City carry the better recent record into this one.
Tropical Coriano are the model's pick here, at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 22%

Tropical Coriano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sangiuliano City	Tropical Coriano
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	6
Draws	7	8
Losses	11	16
Goals Scored	1.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	1	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group D

Sangiuliano City vs Tropical Coriano

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

3:3

Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D

Tropical Coriano vs Sangiuliano City

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 4 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sangiuliano City Compare

Top Goalscorer De Cecco M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tafa S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Tropical Coriano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pasquini A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pacchioni G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiuliano City 29 / 100

Tropical Coriano 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sangiuliano City Tropical Coriano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tropical Coriano conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sangiuliano City scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Sangiuliano City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sangiuliano City VS Tropical Coriano

1.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	34	23	8	3	60:21	77
2	Lentigione	34	22	7	5	51:23	73
3	Pistoiese	34	20	11	3	61:22	71
4	Piacenza	34	19	7	8	60:35	64
5	Pro Palazzolo	34	16	9	9	44:31	57
6	Pro Sesto	34	15	10	9	45:30	55
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	34	15	10	9	35:29	55
8	Rovato Vertovese	34	14	10	10	35:29	52
9	Sangiuliano City	34	14	8	12	41:45	47
10	SCD Progresso	34	10	9	15	38:42	39
11	Sant'Angelo	34	10	9	15	38:51	39
12	Correggese	34	9	12	13	35:36	39
13	Crema	34	9	11	14	35:47	38
14	Imolese	34	8	10	16	28:47	34
15	Sasso Marconi	34	8	7	19	33:49	31
16	Tropical Coriano	34	7	10	17	29:45	31
17	Trevigliese	34	5	8	21	31:62	23
18	Tuttocuoio	34	0	8	26	18:73	8