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Sangiuliano City vs Victor San Marino

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Cogliati P.
90' Event
Girgi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 game between Sangiuliano City and Victor San Marino finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sangiuliano City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sangiuliano City
39%
Draws
30%
Victor San Marino
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Victor San Marino come out ahead of Sangiuliano City on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 21%
Victor San Marino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiuliano City Victor San Marino
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs Victor San Marino
2:0
Oct 7, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Victor San Marino vs Sangiuliano City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sangiuliano City Compare

Top Goalscorer Cogliati P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Girgi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Victor San Marino Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiuliano City 32 / 100
Victor San Marino 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiuliano City Victor San Marino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sangiuliano City scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Victor San Marino has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Sangiuliano City has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sangiuliano City VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiuliano City

(Home)
03 May
Sangiuliano City
0 : 5
Desenzano Calvina
26 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 0
Sangiuliano City
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Apr
Crema
0 : 2
Sangiuliano City
02 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 3
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 7

Victor San Marino

(Away)
12 May
Corticella
2 : 1
Victor San Marino
05 May
Victor San Marino
3 : 2
San Donnino
28 Apr
Prato
0 : 2
Victor San Marino
21 Apr
Victor San Marino
1 : 0
Imolese
14 Apr
Forli FC
3 : 0
Victor San Marino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Carpi32215666:3168
2Ravenna32199456:1366
3Corticella321831159:4057
4Victor San Marino32176944:3757
5Lentigione32168849:3156
6Forli FC32167948:3555
7Prato321281237:4144
8Sangiuliano City321281232:3744
9Fanfulla3211101128:3543
10Sant'Angelo321181347:4441
11Aglianese Calcio321181332:3941
12Imolese321261431:3340
13Sammaurese321141737:4837
14SCD Progresso321141727:4337
15San Donnino325101732:5825
16Certaldo32662022:5524
17Mezzolara32562123:5021
18Pistoiese00000:00
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)