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Sangiustese vs Jesina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Errico S.
32' Event
Villanova M.
62' Event
Mingiano M.

AI Match Summary

Jesina in this Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jesina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sangiustese
15%
Draws
85%
Jesina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jesina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Jesina at 1.09 per game, Sangiustese at 0.82.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sangiustese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sangiustese Clean Sheet 20%
Jesina Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiustese Jesina
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 3 3
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0.82 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Sangiustese
0:0
Dec 21, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Jesina
1:2
May 5, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Jesina
2:1
Dec 22, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Sangiustese
1:0
Mar 4, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Jesina
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sangiustese Compare

Top Goalscorer Mingiano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Jesina Compare

Top Goalscorer Errico S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villanova M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.17
Avg xA / game 0.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiustese 42 / 100
Jesina 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiustese Jesina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jesina let in goals in 95% of their last 22 matches.

Sangiustese's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Jesina registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sangiustese VS Jesina
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiustese

(Home)
01 Mar
Sangiustese
0 : 1
Montegiorgio
23 Feb
Cattolica Calcio
1 : 0
Sangiustese
16 Feb
Sangiustese
0 : 2
Matelica
09 Feb
Agnonese
3 : 0
Sangiustese
02 Feb
Sangiustese
1 : 2
Vastese
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Jesina

(Away)
01 Mar
Jesina
0 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
23 Feb
Matelica
3 : 0
Jesina
16 Feb
Jesina
1 : 1
Pineto
09 Feb
Vastese
2 : 1
Jesina
02 Feb
Jesina
0 : 1
Avezzano
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