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Sangiustese vs Vastogirardi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Thu, Apr 9, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sangiustese host Vastogirardi in the Serie D - Group F 2019/2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sangiustese have averaged 0.82 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Vastogirardi's 0.81 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Sangiustese slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.48 - 0.74) back Vastogirardi to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sangiustese
15%
Draws
85%
Vastogirardi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vastogirardi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vastogirardi come out ahead of Sangiustese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sangiustese a 0% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sangiustese Clean Sheet 20%
Vastogirardi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiustese Vastogirardi
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 3 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0.82 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Vastogirardi
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Sangiustese
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiustese 67 / 100
Vastogirardi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiustese Vastogirardi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sangiustese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sangiustese scored in 64% of their last 22 outings.

Vastogirardi has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Vastogirardi registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vastogirardi
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiustese

(Home)
01 Mar
Sangiustese
0 : 1
Montegiorgio
23 Feb
Cattolica Calcio
1 : 0
Sangiustese
16 Feb
Sangiustese
0 : 2
Matelica
09 Feb
Agnonese
3 : 0
Sangiustese
02 Feb
Sangiustese
1 : 2
Vastese
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Vastogirardi

(Away)
05 May
Roma City
4 : 2
Vastogirardi
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4
Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 2
Vastogirardi
14 Apr
Vastogirardi
0 : 1
Aquila Calcio
07 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1
Vastogirardi
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