Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sanjoanense vs Beira Mar

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B Estádio Conde Dias Garcia, São João da Madeira
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Silva D.
57' Event
Machado D.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B game between Sanjoanense and Beira Mar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sanjoanense
35%
Draws
32%
Beira Mar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Beira Mar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Beira Mar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 13%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanjoanense Beira Mar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sanjoanense vs Beira Mar
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Sanjoanense vs Beira Mar
0:1
Jan 31, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sanjoanense vs Beira Mar
0:0
Oct 18, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Beira Mar vs Sanjoanense
2:0
Nov 25, 2000 Taça de Portugal
Sanjoanense vs Beira Mar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanjoanense Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Beira Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanjoanense 10 / 100
Beira Mar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanjoanense Beira Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beira Mar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanjoanense scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Beira Mar conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Sanjoanense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sanjoanense VS Beira Mar
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanjoanense

(Home)
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0
Pacos de Brandao
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
16 Aug
Sanjoanense
1 : 1
Beira Mar
18 Jul
Sanjoanense
0 : 1
AD Fafe
Page 1 of 6

Beira Mar

(Away)
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
16 Aug
Sanjoanense
1 : 1
Beira Mar
25 Jul
Tondela
1 : 2
Beira Mar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Camacha 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
3 Sanjoanense 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
4 Machico 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
5 Cinfaes 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
6 Uniao Lamas 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
7 Florgrade 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
8 SC Salgueiros 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
9 Castro Daire 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
10 FC Alpendorada 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Beira Mar 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
12 Estrela Calheta 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Guarda FC 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
14 Sousense 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)