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Sanjoanense vs FC Alpendorada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B Estádio Conde Dias Garcia, São João da Madeira
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Santos J.
13' Event
Andrezo D.
29' Event
Maxwell S.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B game between Sanjoanense and FC Alpendorada finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanjoanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sanjoanense
15%
Draws
28%
FC Alpendorada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sanjoanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sanjoanense haven't matched FC Alpendorada's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sanjoanense's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 68%
FC Alpendorada Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanjoanense FC Alpendorada
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.19 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sanjoanense vs FC Alpendorada
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanjoanense Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrezo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maxwell S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Alpendorada Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanjoanense 86 / 100
FC Alpendorada 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanjoanense FC Alpendorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanjoanense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sanjoanense's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

FC Alpendorada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

Sanjoanense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sanjoanense VS FC Alpendorada
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanjoanense

(Home)
10 Oct
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Guarda FC
20 Sept
Anca
1 : 4
Sanjoanense
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0
Pacos de Brandao
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FC Alpendorada

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Alpendorada
3 : 0
Macao
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Machico 5 3 2 0 9:2 11
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Sanjoanense 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
5 Castro Daire 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
6 Florgrade 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
7 SC Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 Cinfaes 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
9 Uniao Lamas 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Beira Mar 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
11 FC Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
12 Estrela Calheta 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
13 Guarda FC 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)