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Sanjoanenses vs Mindelense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Gomes A.
61' Event
Barbosa P.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2025 game between Sanjoanenses and Mindelense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Sanjoanenses
35%
Draws
41%
Mindelense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mindelense come out ahead of Sanjoanenses on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mindelense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sanjoanenses Clean Sheet 20%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanjoanenses Mindelense
Matches Played 20 40
Wins 4 20
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.8 1.48
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Sanjoanenses vs Mindelense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanjoanenses Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Mindelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbosa P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanjoanenses 28 / 100
Mindelense 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanjoanenses Mindelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanjoanenses scored in 60% of their last 20 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sanjoanenses went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mindelense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 40 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sanjoanenses VS Mindelense
0.5 Goals Scored 2
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
17% Over 1.5 88%
17% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanjoanenses

(Home)
14 Jun
Palmeira
1 : 0
Sanjoanenses
08 Jun
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Palmeira
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Botafogo
10 May
Sport Sal-Rei
0 : 1
Sanjoanenses
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Mindelense

(Away)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boavista da Praia 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
2 Palmeira 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
3 Sanjoanenses 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
4 Paulense 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
5 Mindelense 6 2 4 0 12:8 10
6 Academica Praia 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
7 Sport Sal-Rei 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
8 Ultramarina 6 1 2 3 3:9 5
9 Scorpion Vermelho 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
10 Botafogo 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2025 (Play Offs)