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Sanliurfaspor vs Hatayspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu, Şanliurfa
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sanliurfaspor host Hatayspor in the 2. Lig White Group. This has Sanliurfaspor written all over it on paper. Hatayspor have shipped 2.36 goals a game lately, while Sanliurfaspor have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.57. Past meetings favor Sanliurfaspor slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 5, 2020, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.06) back Sanliurfaspor to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sanliurfaspor
35%
Draws
26%
Hatayspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sanliurfaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Hatayspor haven't matched Sanliurfaspor's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sanliurfaspor's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sanliurfaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Hatayspor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanliurfaspor Hatayspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 3
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.57 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2020 Turkish Cup
Hatayspor vs Sanliurfaspor
2:1
May 18, 1997 1. Lig
Sanliurfaspor vs Hatayspor
2:0
Mar 2, 1997 1. Lig
Hatayspor vs Sanliurfaspor
2:2
Nov 10, 1996 1. Lig
Sanliurfaspor vs Hatayspor
5:0
Sep 25, 1996 1. Lig
Hatayspor vs Sanliurfaspor
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanliurfaspor 42 / 100
Hatayspor 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanliurfaspor Hatayspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hatayspor has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Sanliurfaspor scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Sanliurfaspor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sanliurfaspor VS Hatayspor
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanliurfaspor

(Home)
05 Oct
Sanliurfaspor
1 : 1
Guzide Gebzespor
27 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 1
Sanliurfaspor
19 Sept
Sanliurfaspor
1 : 1
Adanademirspor
13 Sept
Sebat Spor Kulubu
3 : 3
Sanliurfaspor
06 Sept
Sanliurfaspor
1 : 0
Ankaraspor
Page 1 of 6

Hatayspor

(Away)
07 Oct
Hatayspor
1 : 2
Karakopru
03 Oct
Isparta 32 Spor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
27 Sept
Hatayspor
2 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
13 Sept
Corluspor
0 : 0
Hatayspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Musspor 5 4 1 0 15:7 13
2 Aliaga 5 4 0 1 12:9 12
3 Elazigspor 5 3 1 1 12:4 10
4 Corluspor 5 3 1 1 11:5 10
5 Guzide Gebzespor 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
6 Menemenspor 5 3 0 2 7:7 9
7 Inegol Kafkas 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
8 Erbaaspor 5 2 1 2 13:12 7
9 Soma Spor 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
10 Isparta 32 Spor 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Sanliurfaspor 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
12 Ankaraspor 5 2 0 3 3:6 6
13 Aksaray Bld. 5 1 2 2 9:8 5
14 Kastamonuspor 5 2 0 3 4:13 3
15 Sebat Spor Kulubu 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
16 Arnavutkoy Bl. 5 0 0 5 2:11 0
17 Hatayspor 5 1 1 3 2:4 -2
18 Adanademirspor 5 1 1 3 3:9 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
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