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Sanremese vs Savona Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D 2019/2020
Wed, Sep 25, 2019
1 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Buratto M.
Penalty Missed
1' Event
Taddei M.
(Penalty)
2' Event
Lo Nigro A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Sanremese in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2019/2020 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sanremese
30%
Draws
47%
Savona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Savona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sanremese have won more games recently than Savona.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Sanremese have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sanremese, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 20%
Savona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanremese Savona
Matches Played 28 21
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Savona
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Savona vs Sanremese
1:2
Sep 25, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie D
Sanremese vs Savona
1:0
Jan 20, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Savona
2:0
Sep 30, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Savona vs Sanremese
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanremese 32 / 100
Savona 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanremese Savona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanremese found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Savona conceded in 67% of 21 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sanremese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sanremese VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanremese

(Home)
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

Savona

(Away)
23 Feb
Bra
0 : 1
Savona
16 Feb
Savona
1 : 2
Lucchese
09 Feb
Lavagnese
0 : 0
Savona
02 Feb
Savona
2 : 1
Vado
26 Jan
Fezzanese
0 : 1
Savona
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Mantova 3
Ciliverghe Mazzano 4
Folgore Caratese 2
Caravaggio 0
Seregno Calcio 4
Casale 1
Crema 1
Fanfulla 0
Montebelluna 2
Union Feltre 3
Villafranca 2
Virtus Bolzano 1
Chions 0
Campodarsego 3
Mestre 0
Adriese 1
Grassina 2
Scandicci 1
San Donato Tavarnelle 2
Monterosi 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
Grosseto 1
FC Ponsacco 4
Tuttocuoio 2
Pro Sesto 1
Inveruno 2
Brusaporto 2
Villa Valle 1
AC Chieri 3
Ligorna 0
Sanremese 1
Savona 0
Avezzano 0
Pineto 1
Trastevere Calcio 0
Ostiamare 1
Lanusei Calcio 0
Sassari Torres 2
Aprilia 1
Vis Artena 0
US Tolentino 3
Cannara 1
Sangiustese 1
Montegiorgio 2
Mezzolara 1
Vigor Carpaneto 0
Savignanese 2
Matelica 1
Roma City 1
Portici 1906 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Fidelis Andria 0
Francavilla 0
Citta di Fasano 2
Taranto 2
Audace Cerignola 0
FC Messina 2
Cittanovese 0
Marsala 0
AS Acireale 2
Foggia 3
Vastogirardi 1
Turris 2
Sorrento 1
1/16-finals
Ciliverghe Mazzano 1
Folgore Caratese 2
Seregno Calcio 2
Crema 1
Union Feltre 2
Villafranca 0
Campodarsego 2
Adriese 1
Grassina 1
San Donato Tavarnelle 3
Seravezza Pozzi 2
FC Ponsacco 0
Inveruno 3
Brusaporto 2
AC Chieri 0
Sanremese 3
Pineto 1
Ostiamare 0
Sassari Torres 3
Aprilia 0
US Tolentino 2
Montegiorgio 0
Mezzolara 2
Savignanese 1
Portici 1906 0
A.C. Savoia 2
Citta di Fasano 3
Taranto 2
FC Messina 0
AS Acireale 2
Foggia 3
Turris 1
1/8-finals
Folgore Caratese 3
Seregno Calcio 2
Union Feltre 3
Campodarsego 0
San Donato Tavarnelle 2
Seravezza Pozzi 3
Inveruno 2
Sanremese 3
Pineto 4
Sassari Torres 3
US Tolentino 4
Mezzolara 2
A.C. Savoia 0
Citta di Fasano 1
AS Acireale 0
Foggia 3
Quarter-finals
Folgore Caratese 2
Union Feltre 1
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Sanremese 2
Pineto 1
US Tolentino 2
Citta di Fasano 2
Foggia 1
Semi-finals
Folgore Caratese 6
Sanremese 0
US Tolentino 1
Citta di Fasano 5
Final
Folgore Caratese -
Citta di Fasano -