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Sanremese vs Sestri Levante - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Cheshmedjiev K.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Sanremese and Sestri Levante finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanremese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sanremese
20%
Draws
33%
Sestri Levante
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sestri Levante haven't matched Sanremese's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sanremese a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sanremese here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 68%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanremese Sestri Levante
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Sestri Levante
1:0
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Sanremese
0:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Sestri Levante
1:2
Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Sestri Levante
1:0
Sep 4, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Sanremese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheshmedjiev K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sestri Levante Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanremese 95 / 100
Sestri Levante 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanremese Sestri Levante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanremese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanremese's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sestri Levante conceded in 81% of 36 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sanremese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sanremese VS Sestri Levante
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanremese

(Home)
18 Oct
Sanremese
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
11 Oct
Valenzana
1 : 1
Sanremese
07 Oct
Sanremese
5 : 2
Millesimo
04 Oct
Sanremese
3 : 0
Bra
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

Sestri Levante

(Away)
18 Oct
Sanremese
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
11 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 1
Celle Varazze
07 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 0
Pistoiese
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1
Sestri Levante
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
AS Biellese
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 8 7 0 1 16:9 21
2 AS Biellese 8 5 2 1 17:8 17
3 Millesimo 8 5 0 3 15:6 15
4 Chisola 8 4 2 2 16:9 14
5 Ligorna 8 4 1 3 16:12 13
6 Sanremese 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
7 Derthona FbC 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
8 GSD Lascaris 8 3 2 3 6:9 11
9 Asti Calcio 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Imperia Calcio 8 3 2 3 11:11 11
11 Saluzzo 8 2 4 2 10:10 10
12 Gozzano 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
13 Bra 8 2 3 3 7:9 9
14 Borgosesia Calcio 8 2 3 3 9:12 9
15 Sestri Levante 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
16 Fezzanese 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
17 Valenzana 8 1 2 5 9:15 5
18 Celle Varazze 7 0 1 6 2:14 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)