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Sant Andreu vs CE Atletic Lleida

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Darbra P.

AI Match Summary

Sant Andreu in this Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sant Andreu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Sant Andreu
30%
Draws
35%
CE Atletic Lleida
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sant Andreu have won more games recently than CE Atletic Lleida.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Sant Andreu Clean Sheet 68%
CE Atletic Lleida Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sant Andreu CE Atletic Lleida
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.44 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Sant Andreu vs CE Atletic Lleida
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
CE Atletic Lleida vs Sant Andreu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sant Andreu Compare

Top Goalscorer Darbra P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

CE Atletic Lleida Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sant Andreu 41 / 100
CE Atletic Lleida 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sant Andreu CE Atletic Lleida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sant Andreu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sant Andreu scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

CE Atletic Lleida has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Sant Andreu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sant Andreu VS CE Atletic Lleida
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sant Andreu

(Home)
15 Aug
Olot
0 : 0
Sant Andreu
08 Aug
Sant Andreu
1 : 1
CE Europa
01 Aug
Espanyol B
1 : 1
Sant Andreu
29 Jul
Mallorca B
1 : 0
Sant Andreu
03 May
Sant Andreu
0 : 1
UD Barbastro
Page 1 of 6

CE Atletic Lleida

(Away)
08 Aug
UD Barbastro
2 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
03 May
Andratx
3 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
26 Apr
Barcelona B
2 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
19 Apr
CE Atletic Lleida
2 : 0
SD Ibiza
12 Apr
Girona B
3 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sant Andreu 34 20 6 8 51:33 66
2 Baleares 34 19 9 6 53:34 66
3 UD Poblense 34 16 11 7 41:28 59
4 Reus FC Reddis 34 16 7 11 50:38 55
5 Alcoyano 34 13 16 5 30:20 55
6 Barcelona B 34 14 10 10 62:40 52
7 Girona B 34 12 11 11 45:37 47
8 Terrassa 34 11 13 10 36:44 46
9 Valencia B 34 10 14 10 53:50 44
10 Espanyol B 34 10 14 10 34:35 44
11 UD Barbastro 34 10 13 11 32:31 43
12 Olot 34 10 12 12 31:32 42
13 Castellon B 34 11 9 14 59:72 42
14 SD Ibiza 34 10 10 14 35:44 40
15 Andratx 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
16 CE Atletic Lleida 34 6 12 16 37:51 30
17 Torrent 34 7 9 18 36:53 30
18 Porreres 34 6 9 19 22:44 27
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)