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Santa Amalia vs Cacereno

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Berlanga M.
70' Event
Gomez C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Santa Amalia and Cacereno finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cacereno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Santa Amalia
30%
Draws
47%
Cacereno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cacereno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cacereno come out ahead of Santa Amalia on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 27%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Amalia Cacereno
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Santa Amalia vs Cacereno
0:2
Sep 19, 2020 Club Friendly
Santa Amalia vs Cacereno
0:4
Apr 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cacereno vs Santa Amalia
0:0
Nov 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Cacereno
2:1
Apr 9, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cacereno vs Santa Amalia
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Amalia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39

Cacereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Berlanga M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Amalia 38 / 100
Cacereno 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Amalia Cacereno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cacereno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Santa Amalia found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Cacereno conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Santa Amalia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Amalia VS Cacereno
0.8 Goals Scored 1.25
0.2 Goals Conceded 0.75
40% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Amalia

(Home)
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
Santa Amalia
3 : 0
Quintana
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
03 May
Santa Amalia
0 : 2
Moralo
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Cacereno

(Away)
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0
Arenas Getxo
16 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Cacereno
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
09 Sept
Cacereno
2 : 0
UD San Pedro
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1
Cacereno
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