Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Amalia vs Emerita Augusta

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Amalia in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Amalia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Santa Amalia
22%
Draws
60%
Emerita Augusta
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Emerita Augusta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Amalia have won more games recently than Emerita Augusta.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Emerita Augusta taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 19%
Emerita Augusta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Amalia Emerita Augusta
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Emerita Augusta vs Santa Amalia
5:1
Nov 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Emerita Augusta
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Amalia 20 / 100
Emerita Augusta 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Amalia Emerita Augusta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Emerita Augusta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Santa Amalia scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Emerita Augusta lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Amalia VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Amalia

(Home)
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
03 May
Santa Amalia
0 : 2
Moralo
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
19 Apr
Santa Amalia
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
12 Apr
Don Benito
1 : 0
Santa Amalia
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Emerita Augusta

(Away)
19 May
Fuente de Cantos
2 : 0
Emerita Augusta
12 May
Emerita Augusta
5 : 4
Cacereno II
05 May
UP Plasencia
0 : 1
Emerita Augusta
28 Apr
Emerita Augusta
0 : 1
Merida UD
21 Apr
Don Benito
2 : 0
Emerita Augusta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Extremadura UD38278375:1489
2UD Badajoz38248667:2480
3Don Benito382310555:2379
4Diter Zafra382211557:2377
5Jerez CF3816111151:3759
6Merida UD3815111247:3856
7Ciduad de Plasencia3815101350:3855
8UP Plasencia3815101355:4755
9Santa Amalia381581552:5453
10CD Coria381491547:4851
11Atletico San Jose Promesas381461844:5848
12Pueblonuevo3811101741:6043
13Miajadas381271940:5643
14RCP Valverdeno381191840:5642
15Hernan Cortes381181936:6441
16Cacereno II3810101848:5740
17Fuente de Cantos381091942:6839
18Moralo387171433:5238
19Emerita Augusta38872344:7731
20Valdelacalzada38772435:6528
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)