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Santa Ana vs Alcobendas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 29, 2020
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Ana host Alcobendas in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Alcobendas have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Santa Ana have conceded 2.1 and scored 0.67. Head-to-head, Santa Ana have won 1 to Alcobendas's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.97 - 1.75) back Alcobendas to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Santa Ana
20%
Draws
63%
Alcobendas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcobendas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Alcobendas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alcobendas's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Santa Ana Clean Sheet 12%
Alcobendas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Ana Alcobendas
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 5 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.67 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Santa Ana vs Alcobendas
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Santa Ana
0:1
Feb 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Santa Ana
0:0
Sep 23, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Santa Ana vs Alcobendas
2:3
Mar 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Santa Ana vs Alcobendas
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Ana 19 / 100
Alcobendas 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Ana Alcobendas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcobendas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcobendas has conceded goals in 80% of their last 20 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Santa Ana scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Santa Ana remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Ana VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Ana

(Home)
20 Jun
Santa Ana
4 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
13 Jun
El Alamo
3 : 1
Santa Ana
06 Jun
Santa Ana
0 : 4
Real Aranjuez
27 May
Mostoles CF
2 : 0
Santa Ana
16 May
Atletico Pinto
2 : 1
Santa Ana
Page 1 of 6

Alcobendas

(Away)
08 Mar
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcobendas
29 Feb
Alcobendas
5 : 0
RSD Alcala
23 Feb
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 1
Alcobendas
16 Feb
Alcobendas
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
09 Feb
El Alamo
1 : 2
Alcobendas
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Navalcarnero 28 16 5 7 44:22 53
2 Union Adarve 28 14 5 9 43:35 47
3 Alcorcon B 28 12 11 5 40:26 47
4 RSD Alcala 28 13 6 9 41:32 45
5 Trival Valderas 28 12 7 9 30:27 43
6 Leganes B 28 11 9 8 49:41 42
7 CD Mostoles 28 12 6 10 42:36 42
8 Pozuelo de Alarcon 28 11 7 10 36:38 40
9 Rayo Vallecano B 28 10 9 9 47:44 39
10 Flat Earth FC 28 11 9 8 36:34 39
11 Santa Ana 28 11 5 12 42:46 38
12 Carabanchel 28 9 9 10 32:32 36
13 Atletico Pinto 28 8 11 9 40:38 35
14 AD Torrejon 28 9 8 11 27:32 35
15 El Alamo 28 9 7 12 36:42 34
16 Moratalaz 28 8 10 10 29:37 34
17 San Fernando de Henares 28 8 9 11 38:42 33
18 Alcobendas 28 8 9 11 35:38 33
19 Parla 28 4 10 14 30:50 22
20 Villaverde San Andres 28 3 10 15 16:41 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)