Sport Picks
Santa Catarina vs Concordia
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 2025 Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck, Rio do Sul 
Match Events
31'
31'
DVD
60'
60'
Roberto Baggio
77'
77'
Jesus da Silva C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-1, with Santa Catarina advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Catarina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Santa Catarina carry the better recent record into this one.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Santa Catarina taking it.
- Santa Catarina have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Santa Catarina, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Santa Catarina have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Santa Catarina Clean Sheet 19%
Concordia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Catarina | Concordia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Catarinense
Concordia vs Santa Catarina
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Concordia vs Santa Catarina
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Santa Catarina vs Concordia
4:1
Feb 22, 2025 Catarinense
Santa Catarina vs Concordia
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Catarina Compare
Top Goalscorer DVD
1 Goals Assists Leader Roberto Baggio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34
Concordia Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodrigo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Catarina 85 / 100
Concordia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Catarina Concordia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Catarina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Catarina found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).
Concordia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Solid form: Santa Catarina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Santa Catarina VS Concordia
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Catarina
(Home) 20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 Figueirense
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1 Marcilio Dias
06 Sept
Nacao
2 : 2 Santa Catarina
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1 Santa Catarina
27 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 Figueirense
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1 Marcilio Dias
27 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 EC Sao Jose (PA)
07 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 0 FC Cascavel
23 May
Santa Catarina
1 : 0 Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 4
Concordia
(Away) 22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0 Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2 Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1 Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0 Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1 Concordia
Page 1 of 6
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0 Concordia
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1 Concordia
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1 Concordia
19 Jan
Criciuma
3 : 1 Concordia
08 Jan
Carlos Renaux
0 : 1 Concordia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Figueirense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Avai | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:20 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Brusque | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Concordia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenau | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Joinville | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Carlos Renaux | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Tubarao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Caravaggio | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 4 | Camboriu | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
