Sport Picks
Santa Catarina vs Figueirense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 
Match Events
4'
4'
Emerson Galego
43'
43'
Ze Carlos
46'
46'
Adriel
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Figueirense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Figueirense have won more games recently than Santa Catarina.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Figueirense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Figueirense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Santa Catarina Clean Sheet 22%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Catarina | Figueirense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 33 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.12 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Copa Santa Catarina
Santa Catarina vs Figueirense
1:2
Feb 2, 2025 Catarinense
Santa Catarina vs Figueirense
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Catarina Compare
Top Goalscorer Adriel
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Figueirense Compare
Top Goalscorer Emerson Galego
1 Goals Assists Leader Ze Carlos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Catarina 37 / 100
Figueirense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Catarina Figueirense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Figueirense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Santa Catarina scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Figueirense has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.
Santa Catarina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Santa Catarina VS Figueirense
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Catarina
(Home) 20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 Figueirense
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1 Marcilio Dias
06 Sept
Nacao
2 : 2 Santa Catarina
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1 Santa Catarina
27 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 Figueirense
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1 Marcilio Dias
27 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 EC Sao Jose (PA)
07 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 0 FC Cascavel
23 May
Santa Catarina
1 : 0 Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 3
Figueirense
(Away) 27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1 Figueirense
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 Figueirense
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0 Nacao
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1 Maranhao
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1 Figueirense
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 Figueirense
23 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
0 : 0 Figueirense
16 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2 Figueirense
25 Jul
Santa Cruz
0 : 1 Figueirense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Hercilio Luz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Joinville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | 3 |
| 9 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs)
