Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Clara U19 vs Alverca U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Silva T.
63' Event
Grilo M.
77' Event
Cabido F.

AI Match Summary

Alverca U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alverca U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Santa Clara U19
15%
Draws
26%
Alverca U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Clara U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Clara U19 have won more games recently than Alverca U19.
  • Win probability leans Santa Clara U19's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Santa Clara U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Clara U19 Alverca U19
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Santa Clara U19 vs Alverca U19
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Santa Clara U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Clara U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabido F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Alverca U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grilo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Clara U19 48 / 100
Alverca U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Clara U19 Alverca U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Clara U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Clara U19 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Alverca U19 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Santa Clara U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Clara U19 VS Alverca U19
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Clara U19

(Home)
12 Sept
Santa Clara U19
7 : 0
Mafra U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
15 Aug
Casa Pia U19
2 : 0
Santa Clara U19
16 May
Santa Clara U19
2 : 1
Rio Ave U19
09 May
Gil Vicente U19
1 : 0
Santa Clara U19
Page 1 of 7

Alverca U19

(Away)
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3
SC Farense U19
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5
Alverca U19
11 Apr
Alverca U19
0 : 1
Mafra U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 18 16 1 1 62:19 49
2 Gil Vicente U19 18 10 2 6 31:23 32
3 Rio Ave U19 18 10 1 7 32:31 31
4 Famalicao U19 18 9 3 6 35:29 30
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 18 8 3 7 22:27 27
6 Braga U19 18 8 3 7 32:26 27
7 Vizela U19 18 5 4 9 30:39 19
8 Pacos Ferreira U19 18 5 4 9 22:37 19
9 Moreirense U19 18 4 4 10 20:27 16
10 Chaves U19 18 0 5 13 10:38 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 18 10 6 2 31:14 36
2 Leiria U19 18 8 6 4 30:23 30
3 Sporting CP U19 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
4 Santa Clara U19 18 7 7 4 24:17 28
5 Academico Viseu U19 18 5 9 4 23:19 24
6 Torreense U19 18 6 4 8 17:20 22
7 Alverca U19 18 6 3 9 23:26 21
8 Belenenses U19 18 5 5 8 13:23 20
9 Tondela U19 18 4 5 9 11:26 17
10 Mafra U19 18 3 6 9 22:38 15
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)