Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Comba vs Cerceda

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cerceda in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cerceda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Santa Comba
35%
Draws
32%
Cerceda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Cerceda have won more games recently than Santa Comba.
  • Win probability leans Santa Comba's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cerceda here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Santa Comba Clean Sheet 20%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Comba Cerceda
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 0.9 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Santa Comba vs Cerceda
0:2
Dec 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Santa Comba
1:0
Jan 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Santa Comba vs Cerceda
0:1
Sep 6, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Santa Comba
2:0
Mar 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Santa Comba vs Cerceda
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Comba 42 / 100
Cerceda 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Comba Cerceda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerceda let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Cerceda's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Santa Comba found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Cerceda
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Comba

(Home)
15 May
Santa Comba
1 : 1
CD AS Pontes
08 May
Villalonga
1 : 1
Santa Comba
01 May
Santa Comba
0 : 2
Cerceda
24 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
Santa Comba
16 Apr
Santa Comba
1 : 2
SD Ordenes
Page 1 of 6

Cerceda

(Away)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 36 26 4 6 65:33 82
2 Cerceda 36 21 7 8 52:29 70
3 CD Ourense 36 19 11 6 70:34 68
4 Coruxo FC 36 17 13 6 54:32 64
5 Naron 36 18 5 13 49:45 59
6 Alondras 36 14 12 10 48:38 54
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 8 13 46:43 53
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:37 51
9 Racing Club Villalbes 36 12 12 12 36:37 48
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 12 11 13 37:35 47
11 Santa Comba 36 13 7 16 44:48 46
12 Villalonga 36 11 11 14 36:39 44
13 CD Cultural Areas 36 11 11 14 34:50 44
14 Bergantinos 36 11 9 16 30:49 42
15 Pontevedra B 36 11 7 18 44:47 40
16 Somozas 36 11 6 19 40:56 39
17 Lalin 36 9 11 16 38:51 38
18 Celtiga 36 8 12 16 37:45 36
19 Verin CF 36 3 6 27 26:79 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)