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Santa Comba vs Somozas

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 game between Santa Comba and Somozas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Santa Comba
35%
Draws
49%
Somozas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Somozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Somozas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Somozas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Santa Comba Clean Sheet 20%
Somozas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Comba Somozas
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 6 15
Draws 10 15
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Santa Comba
0:0
Oct 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Santa Comba vs Somozas
0:0
Apr 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Santa Comba vs Somozas
1:1
Dec 13, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Santa Comba
0:1
Apr 12, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Santa Comba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Comba 24 / 100
Somozas 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Comba Somozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somozas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somozas has conceded goals in 60% of their last 42 outings.

Attacking prowess: Santa Comba scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Santa Comba stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Somozas
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Comba

(Home)
15 May
Santa Comba
1 : 1
CD AS Pontes
08 May
Villalonga
1 : 1
Santa Comba
01 May
Santa Comba
0 : 2
Cerceda
24 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
Santa Comba
16 Apr
Santa Comba
1 : 2
SD Ordenes
Page 1 of 6

Somozas

(Away)
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 36 26 4 6 65:33 82
2 Cerceda 36 21 7 8 52:29 70
3 CD Ourense 36 19 11 6 70:34 68
4 Coruxo FC 36 17 13 6 54:32 64
5 Naron 36 18 5 13 49:45 59
6 Alondras 36 14 12 10 48:38 54
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 8 13 46:43 53
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:37 51
9 Racing Club Villalbes 36 12 12 12 36:37 48
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 12 11 13 37:35 47
11 Santa Comba 36 13 7 16 44:48 46
12 Villalonga 36 11 11 14 36:39 44
13 CD Cultural Areas 36 11 11 14 34:50 44
14 Bergantinos 36 11 9 16 30:49 42
15 Pontevedra B 36 11 7 18 44:47 40
16 Somozas 36 11 6 19 40:56 39
17 Lalin 36 9 11 16 38:51 38
18 Celtiga 36 8 12 16 37:45 36
19 Verin CF 36 3 6 27 26:79 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)