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Santa Cruz Alvarenga vs Valadares Gaia FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valadares Gaia FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valadares Gaia FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
33%
Draws
27%
Valadares Gaia FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Santa Cruz Alvarenga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz Alvarenga haven't matched Valadares Gaia FC's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Santa Cruz Alvarenga taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Santa Cruz Alvarenga Clean Sheet 68%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Alvarenga Valadares Gaia FC
Matches Played 26 34
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Valadares Gaia FC vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga
2:1
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Cruz Alvarenga vs Valadares Gaia FC
0:1
Dec 19, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Valadares Gaia FC vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1:1
Aug 29, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santa Cruz Alvarenga vs Valadares Gaia FC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz Alvarenga 50 / 100
Valadares Gaia FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Alvarenga Valadares Gaia FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valadares Gaia FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Away concern: Valadares Gaia FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Santa Cruz Alvarenga found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (26 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Valadares Gaia FC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%