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Santa Cruz de Natal vs QFC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar Estadio Municipal Domicio da Silva, Senador Eloi de Souza
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Costa D.
49' Event
Tallison

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Santa Cruz de Natal
35%
Draws
41%
QFC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: QFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • QFC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on QFC taking it.
  • QFC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor QFC, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • QFC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Santa Cruz de Natal Clean Sheet 10%
QFC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz de Natal QFC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.06 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Potiguar
QFC vs Santa Cruz de Natal
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 Potiguar
Santa Cruz de Natal vs QFC
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Potiguar
Santa Cruz de Natal vs QFC
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz de Natal Compare

Top Goalscorer Tallison
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

QFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz de Natal 10 / 100
QFC 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz de Natal QFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz de Natal scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Santa Cruz de Natal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

QFC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz de Natal VS QFC
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz de Natal

(Home)
04 Mar
QFC
2 : 0
Santa Cruz de Natal
28 Feb
Santa Cruz de Natal
1 : 1
QFC
08 Feb
America RN
3 : 0
Santa Cruz de Natal
04 Feb
Santa Cruz de Natal
3 : 3
Laguna RN
01 Feb
Globo FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz de Natal
Page 1 of 7

QFC

(Away)
14 Mar
ABC
3 : 1
QFC
08 Mar
QFC
1 : 3
ABC
04 Mar
QFC
2 : 0
Santa Cruz de Natal
28 Feb
Santa Cruz de Natal
1 : 1
QFC
07 Feb
ABC
1 : 1
QFC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
America RN -
TBD -
Potiguar de Mossoró 1
Laguna RN 0
ABC -
TBD -
QFC 3
Santa Cruz de Natal 1
Semi-finals
America RN 4
Potiguar de Mossoró 2
ABC 6
QFC 2
Final
America RN 3
ABC 2