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Santa Cruz MT U20 vs Luverdense U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense U20 2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Luverdense U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santa Cruz MT U20
30%
Draws
39%
Luverdense U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luverdense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Luverdense U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Luverdense U20 a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Luverdense U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Luverdense U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Santa Cruz MT U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Luverdense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz MT U20 Luverdense U20
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 3 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.89 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.22 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Santa Cruz MT U20 vs Luverdense U20
1:2
Aug 17, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Luverdense U20 vs Santa Cruz MT U20
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz MT U20 10 / 100
Luverdense U20 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz MT U20 Luverdense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luverdense U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Luverdense U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Santa Cruz MT U20 scored in 56% of their last 18 games.

Santa Cruz MT U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz MT U20 VS Luverdense U20
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.67 Goals Conceded 2.25
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz MT U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Uirapuru U20
4 : 0
Santa Cruz MT U20
11 Jul
Santa Cruz MT U20
0 : 4
Uirapuru U20
04 Jul
Campo Novo U20
0 : 1
Santa Cruz MT U20
21 Jun
Santa Cruz MT U20
0 : 3
Cacerense U20
17 Jun
Santa Cruz MT U20
1 : 1
Campo Novo U20
Page 1 of 4

Luverdense U20

(Away)
16 Sept
Athletico-PR U20
5 : 2
Luverdense U20
18 Jul
Cuiaba U20
1 : 1
Luverdense U20
12 Jul
Luverdense U20
1 : 5
Cuiaba U20
06 Jul
Luverdense U20
4 : 1
Sorriso EC U20
27 Jun
Sport Sinop U20
2 : 2
Luverdense U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Santa Cruz MT U20 3
Luverdense U20 6
Nova Mutum EC U20 8
Campo Novo U20 0
Mixto U20 3
Uniao Rondonopolis U20 4
Cuiaba U20 8
Chapada U20 0
Semi-finals
Luverdense U20 3
Nova Mutum EC U20 2
Uniao Rondonopolis U20 0
Cuiaba U20 8
Final
Luverdense U20 0
Cuiaba U20 9