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Santa Cruz MT vs Gremio Sorriso

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2
Santa Cruz MT Logo

Santa Cruz MT

0 - 0
FT
Gremio Sorriso Logo

Gremio Sorriso

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Matogrossense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Santa Cruz MT
20%
Draws
29%
Gremio Sorriso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Cruz MT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz MT have won more games recently than Gremio Sorriso.
  • Santa Cruz MT are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Santa Cruz MT Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Sorriso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz MT Gremio Sorriso
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.26 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Santa Cruz MT vs Gremio Sorriso
0:0
May 4, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Gremio Sorriso vs Santa Cruz MT
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz MT 76 / 100
Gremio Sorriso 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz MT Gremio Sorriso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz MT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Sorriso let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Santa Cruz MT has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gremio Sorriso lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz MT VS Gremio Sorriso
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz MT

(Home)
27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
31 May
Sinop FC
0 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
23 May
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 1
Sinop FC
Page 1 of 4

Gremio Sorriso

(Away)
10 May
Gremio Sorriso
4 : 0
Campo Novo
30 Apr
Sinop FC
3 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
26 Apr
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
19 Apr
Gremio Sorriso
0 : 1
Sorriso EC
08 Jun
Gremio Sorriso
1 : 3
Pocone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Sorriso EC 4 2 1 1 12:3 7
3 Santa Cruz MT 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
4 Gremio Sorriso 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
5 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uirapuru 4 3 1 0 15:4 10
2 Acao 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
3 Cacerense 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
4 Paulistano FC 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
5 Atletico MT 4 0 2 2 3:12 2
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)