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Stadium Background

Santa Cruz MT vs Sinop FC

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sinop FC in this Matogrossense 2 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santa Cruz MT
39%
Draws
30%
Sinop FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sinop FC have won more games recently than Santa Cruz MT.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sinop FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sinop FC, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Santa Cruz MT Clean Sheet 20%
Sinop FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz MT Sinop FC
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Sinop FC vs Santa Cruz MT
0:0
May 23, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Santa Cruz MT vs Sinop FC
0:1
May 9, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Sinop FC vs Santa Cruz MT
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Santa Cruz MT vs Sinop FC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz MT 32 / 100
Sinop FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz MT Sinop FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sinop FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Santa Cruz MT has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz MT scored in 50% of their last 16 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz MT VS Sinop FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz MT

(Home)
31 May
Sinop FC
0 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
23 May
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 1
Sinop FC
20 May
Acao
1 : 2
Santa Cruz MT
17 May
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 1
Sorriso EC
09 May
Sinop FC
0 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
Page 1 of 4

Sinop FC

(Away)
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
31 May
Sinop FC
0 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
23 May
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 1
Sinop FC
17 May
Campo Novo
1 : 3
Sinop FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sinop FC-
TBD-
Acao1
Santa Cruz MT2
Uirapuru-
TBD-
Sorriso EC2
Cacerense3
Semi-finals
Sinop FC1
Santa Cruz MT0
Uirapuru2
Cacerense3
Final
Sinop FC3
Cacerense2