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Santa Cruz RJ vs Barra Mansa

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Sun, Nov 2, 2025
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz RJ host Barra Mansa in the Carioca B2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Santa Cruz RJ have averaged 1.14 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Barra Mansa's 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Santa Cruz RJ slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 2, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.32 - 1.25) back Santa Cruz RJ to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Santa Cruz RJ
6%
Draws
90%
Barra Mansa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Barra Mansa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Cruz RJ come out ahead of Barra Mansa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Barra Mansa a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Santa Cruz RJ Clean Sheet 19%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RJ Barra Mansa
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 20 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.14 0.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Carioca B2
Santa Cruz RJ vs Barra Mansa
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RJ 10 / 100
Barra Mansa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RJ Barra Mansa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz RJ found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Barra Mansa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Santa Cruz RJ went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RJ VS Barra Mansa
1.14 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Cruz RJ871014:322
2Belford Roxo851217:816
3Goytacaz851213:816
4Macae841313:513
5Serra Macaense83419:713
6Paraty82249:108
77 de Abril822411:138
8FC Rio de Janeiro81077:253
9Barra Mansa80264:182