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Santa Cruz RJ vs Serra Macaense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
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AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 game between Santa Cruz RJ and Serra Macaense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Santa Cruz RJ
11%
Draws
80%
Serra Macaense
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Serra Macaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Serra Macaense haven't matched Santa Cruz RJ's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Serra Macaense a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Santa Cruz RJ Clean Sheet 25%
Serra Macaense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RJ Serra Macaense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Carioca B2
Santa Cruz RJ vs Serra Macaense
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RJ 13 / 100
Serra Macaense 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RJ Serra Macaense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz RJ found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Serra Macaense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Santa Cruz RJ remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RJ VS Serra Macaense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Cruz RJ871014:322
2Belford Roxo851217:816
3Goytacaz851213:816
4Macae841313:513
5Serra Macaense83419:713
6Paraty82249:108
77 de Abril822411:138
8FC Rio de Janeiro81077:253
9Barra Mansa80264:182