Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Mazia da Costa M. A.
17' Event
Adriel
19' Event
Oliveira K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santa Cruz RS
44%
Draws
20%
Gramadense
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Gramadense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Gramadense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 20%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RS Gramadense
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 13 11
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Copa FGF
Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense
2:2
May 13, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs Santa Cruz RS
1:2
Jul 16, 2025 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazia da Costa M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adriel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerlly
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RS 36 / 100
Gramadense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RS Gramadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz RS scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Santa Cruz RS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Gramadense conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RS VS Gramadense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz RS

(Home)
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
14 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
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Gramadense

(Away)
23 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 2
Gramadense
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)