Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Cruz RS vs GE Bage

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Matheus Batista

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Santa Cruz RS and GE Bage finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz RS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Santa Cruz RS
35%
Draws
25%
GE Bage
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz RS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Cruz RS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Santa Cruz RS a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 68%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RS GE Bage
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 15 13
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.14 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs GE Bage
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs GE Bage
1:0
Jul 8, 2023 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs GE Bage
0:1
Apr 23, 2023 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Santa Cruz RS
1:4
Apr 7, 2018 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Santa Cruz RS
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Batista
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

GE Bage Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RS 86 / 100
GE Bage 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RS GE Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz RS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz RS's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

GE Bage has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Santa Cruz RS stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RS VS GE Bage
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz RS

(Home)
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Lajeadense
Page 1 of 6

GE Bage

(Away)
27 Sept
GE Bage
4 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
23 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
2 : 0
GE Bage
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Gramadense
16 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 0
GE Bage
13 Sept
GE Bage
0 : 2
GE Gloria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)