Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Douglas Silva
49' Event
David Cunha
59' Event
Jean

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz RS in this Gaucho 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Cruz RS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santa Cruz RS
35%
Draws
29%
Gramadense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz RS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Cruz RS lately — more wins on the board than Gramadense.
  • Santa Cruz RS are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 68%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RS Gramadense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 14 15
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.07 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense
2:1
Jun 17, 2026 Copa FGF
Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense
2:2
May 13, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs Santa Cruz RS
1:2
Jul 16, 2025 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer David Cunha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jean
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas Silva
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RS 50 / 100
Gramadense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RS Gramadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz RS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz RS scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Gramadense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Santa Cruz RS has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RS VS Gramadense
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz RS

(Home)
03 Oct
Apafut
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 6

Gramadense

(Away)
27 Sept
GE Gloria
1 : 1
Gramadense
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1
Pelotas
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Gramadense
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
12 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
3 : 1
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)